DreamLeague Season 25. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionEEEntropia Esportwin 1:0
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TiltedBoysloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entropia Esport
No games played over 6 months.
TiltedBoys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
412 picks · 536 bans
Muerta
404 picks · 333 bans
Tusk
367 picks · 386 bans
Lion
354 picks · 176 bans
Pangolier
353 picks · 584 bans
Batrider
349 picks · 431 bans
Beastmaster
336 picks · 795 bans
Phoenix
325 picks · 331 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Entropia Esport
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% TiltedBoys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Entropia Esport 42%TiltedBoys 58%
The model gave 58% on TiltedBoys — the game was taken by Entropia Esport.
Model check result
Model favoriteTiltedBoys · 58%
Series resultEntropia Esport 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1