DreamLeague Season 25. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
TiltedBoysloss 0:2series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ICIRON CLANwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TiltedBoys
No games played over 6 months.
IRON CLAN
Batrideroften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Bounty Hunteroften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Cucahook · 1 game
Dark Willow
N1NE · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Cucahook · 1 game
Lich
CHAAANNN · 1 game
Ogre Magi
CHAAANNN · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
CHAAANNN · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
410 picks · 525 bans
Muerta
401 picks · 327 bans
Tusk
366 picks · 386 bans
Pangolier
350 picks · 573 bans
Lion
347 picks · 173 bans
Batrider
341 picks · 428 bans
Beastmaster
333 picks · 780 bans
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 477 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% TiltedBoys
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total71% TiltedBoys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
TiltedBoys 71%IRON CLAN 29%
The model gave 71% on TiltedBoys — the game was taken by IRON CLAN.
Game 2prediction missed
TiltedBoys 71%IRON CLAN 29%
The model gave 71% on TiltedBoys — the game was taken by IRON CLAN.
Model check result
Model favoriteTiltedBoys · 71%
Series resultIRON CLAN 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2