DreamLeague Season 25. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Wolf Warriorsloss 0:2series probability
7%93%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Chimera Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wolf Warriors
No games played over 6 months.
Chimera Esports
Clockwerksignature
OneJey · 8 games
Enigmasignature
Daxak · 7 games
Muertasignature
OneJey · 7 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
TA2000 · 5 games
Magnusoften banned
TA2000 · 4 games
Pangolieroften banned
Lorenof · 4 games
Pugnaoften banned
Panto · 4 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Panto · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
409 picks · 520 bans
Muerta
400 picks · 325 bans
Tusk
365 picks · 384 bans
Pangolier
347 picks · 570 bans
Lion
345 picks · 171 bans
Batrider
339 picks · 425 bans
Beastmaster
332 picks · 776 bans
Gyrocopter
319 picks · 469 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 79%
Hero pool strength66% Chimera Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% Chimera Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:34
Wolf Warriors 7%Chimera Esports 93%
The model gave 93% on Chimera Esports — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 19:26.
Game 2prediction correct5:29
Wolf Warriors 7%Chimera Esports 93%
The model gave 93% on Chimera Esports — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 17:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteChimera Esports · 93%
Series resultChimera Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2