PGL Wallachia Season 3. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionRGRBB Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ascent Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
RBB Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Ascent Esports
Clockwerkoften banned
czy · 4 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 4 games
Dark Willow
TrazaM · 3 games
Lion
TrazaM · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
Muerta
TrazaM · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
Ogre Magi
czy · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
408 picks · 513 bans
Muerta
397 picks · 322 bans
Tusk
364 picks · 384 bans
Pangolier
349 picks · 569 bans
Lion
344 picks · 166 bans
Batrider
335 picks · 421 bans
Beastmaster
332 picks · 768 bans
Gyrocopter
313 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength56% RBB Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% RBB Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:21
RBB Gaming 57%Ascent Esports 43%
The model gave 57% on RBB Gaming — the game was taken by Ascent Esports in 30:24.
Game 2prediction missed52:37
RBB Gaming 57%Ascent Esports 43%
The model gave 57% on RBB Gaming — the game was taken by Ascent Esports in 49:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteRBB Gaming · 57%
Series resultAscent Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2