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DreamLeague Season 25. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Looking for Orgwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fantasy Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Looking for Org

Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 24 games
46%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Yadomi · 21 game
43%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 20 games
45%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 18 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
DarkMago · 18 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Yadomi · 17 games
35%
Doom
Doomsignature
Sacred · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 15 games
40%

Fantasy Gaming

Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 4 games
0%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
ArzenT · 3 games
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
DM · 3 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Yor · 2 games
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
0%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Zxca · 2 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
ArzenT · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
JP · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
400 picks · 508 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
392 picks · 313 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
362 picks · 380 bans
46%
Pangolier
Pangolier
348 picks · 563 bans
45%
Lion
Lion
338 picks · 162 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
333 picks · 406 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
326 picks · 752 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
308 picks · 441 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 45%
Hero pool strength56% Looking for Org
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total79% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct50:18
Looking for Org 65%Fantasy Gaming 35%
The model gave 65% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 39:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterpayk
49% · 208 games57% · 192 games
BristlebackJP
Bristleback
Beastmaster
BeastmasterVitaly
52% · 198 games47% · 68 games
TidehunterArzenT
Tidehunter
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritPiPi
44% · 121 game48% · 380 games
TuskZxca
Tusk
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonMatthew
56% · 200 games48% · 370 games
Dark WillowYor
Dark Willow
Clockwerk
ClockwerkYadomi
51% · 283 games
Game 2prediction correct28:11
Looking for Org 67%Fantasy Gaming 33%
The model gave 67% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 30:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
Bristlebackpayk
58% · 52 games44% · 106 games
TerrorbladeJP
Terrorblade
Lycan
LycanVitaly
60% · 6 games45% · 25 games
Night StalkerArzenT
Night Stalker
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritPiPi
46% · 118 games59% · 69 games
Ogre MagiYor
Ogre Magi
Phoenix
PhoenixYadomi
50% · 204 games45% · 204 games
SnapfireZxca
Snapfire
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanMatthew
53% · 24 games
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 79%
Series resultLooking for Org 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2