PGL Wallachia Season 3. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionYyybswin 2:1
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
AAIBOTloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
yybs
No games played over 6 months.
AIBOT
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
398 picks · 507 bans
Muerta
388 picks · 306 bans
Tusk
363 picks · 382 bans
Pangolier
346 picks · 562 bans
Batrider
331 picks · 404 bans
Lion
329 picks · 160 bans
Beastmaster
324 picks · 741 bans
Gyrocopter
306 picks · 425 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% yybs
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% AIBOT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
yybs 41%AIBOT 59%
The model gave 59% on AIBOT — the game was taken by AIBOT.
Game 2prediction missed
yybs 41%AIBOT 59%
The model gave 59% on AIBOT — the game was taken by yybs.
Game 3prediction missed
yybs 41%AIBOT 59%
The model gave 59% on AIBOT — the game was taken by yybs.
Model check result
Model favoriteAIBOT · 59%
Series resultyybs 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3