The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
summer bearwin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MMicroFishkiloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
summer bear
Techies
Delight · 3 games
Legion Commander
azimoff · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Panda · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Panda · 1 game
Clockwerkoften banned
Delight · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
azimoff · 1 game
Drow Rangeroften banned
zuyzyan · 1 game
Gyrocopter
zuyzyan · 1 game
MicroFishki
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
628 picks · 414 bans
Rubick
537 picks · 298 bans
Phoenix
485 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 393 bans
Pangolier
430 picks · 618 bans
Puck
351 picks · 998 bans
Tusk
345 picks · 295 bans
Ember Spirit
338 picks · 525 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% MicroFishki
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% summer bear
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:14
summer bear 69%MicroFishki 31%
The model gave 69% on summer bear — the game was taken by summer bear in 32:20.
Game 2prediction correct68:48
summer bear 69%MicroFishki 31%
The model gave 69% on summer bear — the game was taken by summer bear in 1:08:26.
Model check result
Model favoritesummer bear · 69%
Series resultsummer bear 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2