DreamLeague Season 25. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Chimera Esportswin 2:0series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chimera Esports
Clockwerksignature
OneJey · 7 games
Muertasignature
OneJey · 7 games
Enigmasignature
Daxak · 6 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
TA2000 · 5 games
Magnusoften banned
TA2000 · 4 games
Pangolieroften banned
Lorenof · 4 games
Pugnaoften banned
Panto · 4 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Panto · 4 games
Winners
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
389 picks · 493 bans
Muerta
375 picks · 289 bans
Tusk
361 picks · 391 bans
Pangolier
340 picks · 551 bans
Batrider
320 picks · 383 bans
Beastmaster
318 picks · 722 bans
Lion
312 picks · 151 bans
Phoenix
292 picks · 265 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 40%
Hero pool strength65% Chimera Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Chimera Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:14
Chimera Esports 95%Winners 5%
The model gave 95% on Chimera Esports — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 19:58.
Game 2prediction correct23:5
Chimera Esports 95%Winners 5%
The model gave 95% on Chimera Esports — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 10:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteChimera Esports · 95%
Series resultChimera Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2