DreamLeague Season 25. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Y5 Esportsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Snapfire
Shishak · 14 games
Hoodwink
Shishak · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
Miyaoo · 11 games
Sven
Lowskill · 10 games
Clockwerkoften banned
antoha · 7 games
Elder Titansignature
forcemajor · 7 games
Jakiro
forcemajor · 7 games
Slardaroften banned
Miyaoo · 7 games
Y5 Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
389 picks · 493 bans
Muerta
375 picks · 289 bans
Tusk
361 picks · 391 bans
Pangolier
340 picks · 551 bans
Batrider
320 picks · 383 bans
Beastmaster
318 picks · 722 bans
Lion
312 picks · 151 bans
Phoenix
292 picks · 265 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Y5 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:26
Nemiga Gaming 74%Y5 Esports 26%
The model gave 74% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 1:10:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 74%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1