DreamLeague Season 25. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Jigglinloss 1:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Türkiyewin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Jigglin
No games played over 6 months.
Team Türkiye
Lich
Stoic · 9 games
Phoenix
Jeezy · 9 games
Rubicksignature
Jeezy · 9 games
Tinysignature
G.T.I · 9 games
Clockwerksignature
Stoic · 6 games
Invokersignature
G.T.I · 6 games
Disruptor
Stoic · 5 games
Timbersawoften banned
G.T.I · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
397 picks · 494 bans
Muerta
375 picks · 287 bans
Tusk
368 picks · 402 bans
Pangolier
347 picks · 556 bans
Beastmaster
322 picks · 725 bans
Batrider
321 picks · 384 bans
Lion
312 picks · 148 bans
Phoenix
291 picks · 258 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 54%
Hero pool strength54% Team Türkiye
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Jigglin
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Jigglin 66%Team Türkiye 34%
The model gave 66% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Team Türkiye.
Game 2prediction correct
Jigglin 66%Team Türkiye 34%
The model gave 66% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Jigglin.
Game 3prediction missed
Jigglin 66%Team Türkiye 34%
The model gave 66% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Team Türkiye.
Model check result
Model favoriteJigglin · 66%
Series resultTeam Türkiye 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3