The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 1:0series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 1:0
SMstable mental stateloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Hoodwinksignature
dEsire · 36 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 33 games
Jakirosignature
MoOz · 32 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Nefrit · 31 game
Ringmaster
dEsire · 28 games
Phoenixsignature
MoOz · 27 games
Centaur Warrunner
Nefrit · 26 games
Tiny
Worick · 26 games
stable mental state
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 409 bans
Rubick
530 picks · 297 bans
Phoenix
483 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
467 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
428 picks · 614 bans
Puck
347 picks · 988 bans
Tusk
343 picks · 290 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 518 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:13
Zero Tenacity 92%stable mental state 8%
The model gave 92% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 18:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 92%
Series resultZero Tenacity 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1