The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 1:0
M2Meant 2 Beloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Bald Reborn
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Shad · 2 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
bengan · 2 games
Centaur Warrunner
Xibbe · 1 game
Doomoften banned
Xibbe · 1 game
Hoodwink
mrls · 1 game
Lion
mrls · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Sancity · 1 game
Tiny
Sancity · 1 game
Meant 2 Be
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 409 bans
Rubick
530 picks · 297 bans
Phoenix
483 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
467 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
428 picks · 614 bans
Puck
347 picks · 988 bans
Tusk
343 picks · 290 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 518 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Team Bald Reborn
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Team Bald Reborn
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:9
Team Bald Reborn 82%Meant 2 Be 18%
The model gave 82% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 36:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Bald Reborn · 82%
Series resultTeam Bald Reborn 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1