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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Level UPwin 1:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 1:0
QCOLDTeamloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Tusk
Tusk
lupsione · 6 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
chempik · 5 games
40%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 4 games
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
chempik · 4 games
25%
Tiny
Tiny
Atoufix · 4 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Norma · 3 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
67%
Largo
Largooften banned
Bb3px · 3 games
67%

QCOLDTeam

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
623 picks · 409 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
530 picks · 297 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
483 picks · 583 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
467 picks · 392 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
428 picks · 614 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
347 picks · 987 bans
57%
Tusk
Tusk
343 picks · 290 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 518 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% QCOLDTeam
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct48:3
Level UP 89%QCOLDTeam 11%
The model gave 89% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 18:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 89%
Series resultLevel UP 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1