The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
Underlordsignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 30 games
Phoenixsignature
kreker · 25 games
Rubick
QBFY · 25 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 24 games
Tidehunteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 22 games
Hoodwink
QBFY · 21 game
Dark Willowsignature
QBFY · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 19 games
summer bear
Techies
Delight · 3 games
Legion Commander
azimoff · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Panda · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Panda · 1 game
Clockwerkoften banned
Delight · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
azimoff · 1 game
Drow Rangeroften banned
zuyzyan · 1 game
Gyrocopter
zuyzyan · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 409 bans
Rubick
530 picks · 297 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
428 picks · 613 bans
Puck
347 picks · 986 bans
Tusk
343 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 517 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed71:50
Team Lynx 83%summer bear 17%
The model gave 83% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by summer bear in 1:13:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 83%
Series resultsummer bear 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1