The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 1:0
NGNo Grace No Mercyloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 23 games
Phoenixoften banned
VaniLLl · 21 game
Hoodwink
ariel · 18 games
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 18 games
Puckoften banned
young G · 16 games
Axeoften banned
Covisnine · 15 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 15 games
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 14 games
No Grace No Mercy
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 409 bans
Rubick
530 picks · 297 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
428 picks · 613 bans
Puck
347 picks · 986 bans
Tusk
343 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 517 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% No Grace No Mercy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 91%No Grace No Mercy 9%
The model gave 91% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 91%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1