FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:1series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Titanloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yakult Brothers
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 16 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Poloson · 15 games
Invokersignature
Emo · 13 games
Muerta
BoBoKa · 12 games
Medusasignature
flyfly · 11 games
Pucksignature
Emo · 11 games
Tusksignature
Poloson · 10 games
Alchemistsignature
flyfly · 9 games
Titan
Grimstroke
mercy · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
BEYOND · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
poyoyo · 1 game
Tuskoften banned
zzq · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
439 picks · 545 bans
Clockwerk
435 picks · 520 bans
Pangolier
381 picks · 565 bans
Muerta
367 picks · 276 bans
Batrider
361 picks · 401 bans
Dark Willow
349 picks · 173 bans
Beastmaster
334 picks · 723 bans
Invoker
318 picks · 897 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength60% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total80% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:29
Yakult Brothers 80%Titan 20%
The model gave 80% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Titan in 43:13.
Game 2prediction correct14:26
Yakult Brothers 80%Titan 20%
The model gave 80% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 34:01.
Game 3prediction correct0:13
Yakult Brothers 80%Titan 20%
The model gave 80% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 15:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 80%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3