FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hydrawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9Pandas
Clockwerkoften banned
Solo · 11 games
Tinysignature
erase · 11 games
Tidehuntersignature
laise · 10 games
Pangolieroften banned
laise · 9 games
Undyingsignature
Solo · 9 games
Dark Willowsignature
yamich · 8 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 8 games
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 8 games
Hydra
Dark Willowsignature
Astral · 10 games
Morphlingoften banned
selfhate · 9 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Ethereal · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ethereal · 7 games
Muerta
prblms · 7 games
Underlord
Actor · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
Ethereal · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
453 picks · 560 bans
Clockwerk
439 picks · 524 bans
Pangolier
380 picks · 568 bans
Muerta
365 picks · 276 bans
Batrider
361 picks · 406 bans
Dark Willow
356 picks · 178 bans
Beastmaster
332 picks · 722 bans
Invoker
320 picks · 910 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 55%
Hero pool strength55% 9Pandas
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total55% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:33
9Pandas 49%Hydra 51%
The model gave 51% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 37:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tidehunterlaise
Drow Rangerselfhate
Earth Spiriterase
BristlebackActor
SpectreDarkLord^
EarthshakerEthereal
Muertajesv
Batriderprblms
Elder TitanSolo
Game 2prediction correct23:28
9Pandas 47%Hydra 53%
The model gave 53% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 40:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingDarkLord^
Terrorbladeselfhate
Doomlaise
EarthshakerEthereal
Pangoliererase
BristlebackActor
Shadow DemonSolo
Lionprblms
Muertajesv
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 55%
Series resultHydra 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2