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European Pro League Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Zero Tenacitywin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Solo · 11 games
18%
Tiny
Tinysignature
erase · 11 games
82%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
laise · 10 games
70%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
laise · 9 games
56%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 9 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
yamich · 8 games
63%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 8 games
38%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 8 games
63%

Zero Tenacity

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
DaaD- · 18 games
61%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jAMES · 15 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
LeBronDota · 14 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
MikSa` · 13 games
31%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
LeBronDota · 12 games
58%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Nefrit · 12 games
67%
Lich
Lichsignature
LeBronDota · 10 games
70%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Stojkov · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
455 picks · 566 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
441 picks · 524 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
382 picks · 570 bans
47%
Muerta
Muerta
366 picks · 275 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
361 picks · 405 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
359 picks · 180 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
332 picks · 721 bans
52%
Invoker
Invoker
321 picks · 914 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total51% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
9Pandas 51%Zero Tenacity 49%
The model gave 51% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 51%
Series resultZero Tenacity 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1