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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamloss 0:2
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 0:2
One Movewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 28 games
64%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Munkushi~ · 27 games
56%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
RESPECT · 26 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 25 games
72%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
RESPECT · 25 games
60%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
64%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
swedenstrong · 22 games
59%
Marci
Marcisignature
swedenstrong · 20 games
75%

One Move

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 23 games
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Difference · 22 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
WoE · 22 games
50%
Marci
Marcisignature
not me · 20 games
70%
Doom
Doomsignature
SSS · 18 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Difference · 17 games
59%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
SSS · 15 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
WoE · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
476 picks · 596 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
452 picks · 528 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
388 picks · 574 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
375 picks · 187 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
368 picks · 405 bans
51%
Muerta
Muerta
362 picks · 269 bans
50%
Invoker
Invoker
334 picks · 919 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
333 picks · 706 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% 1w Team
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total73% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:36
1w Team 63%One Move 37%
The model gave 63% on 1w Team — the game was taken by One Move in 34:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pangolier
Pangolierdualrazee
45% · 326 games51% · 196 games
BristlebackWoE
Bristleback
Monkey King
Monkey KingMunkushi~
47% · 98 games41% · 268 games
Ember SpiritWorick
Ember Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterCloud
46% · 150 games60% · 177 games
MagnusSSS
Magnus
Dark Willow
Dark Willowswedenstrong
52% · 152 games56% · 158 games
ChenRein
Chen
Enchantress
EnchantressRESPECT
52% · 209 games50% · 136 games
LeshracJANTER
Leshrac
Game 2prediction missed14:25
1w Team 63%One Move 37%
The model gave 63% on 1w Team — the game was taken by One Move in 32:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Magnus
MagnusMunkushi~
52% · 135 games56% · 202 games
Faceless VoidWoE
Faceless Void
Puck
Puckdualrazee
46% · 171 game48% · 244 games
BeastmasterSSS
Beastmaster
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerCloud
46% · 87 games47% · 241 game
Ember SpiritWorick
Ember Spirit
Batrider
Batriderswedenstrong
45% · 315 games51% · 163 games
WeaverJANTER
Weaver
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenRESPECT
50% · 215 games61% · 73 games
LichRein
Lich
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 73%
Series resultOne Move 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2