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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Chimera Esportswin 2:0
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Chimera Esports

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Daxak · 2 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 2 games
100%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Daxak · 2 games
100%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
TA2000 · 2 games
100%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Lorenof · 2 games
100%
Muerta
Muerta
OneJey · 2 games
100%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Panto · 2 games
100%

Nemiga Gaming

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Miyaoo · 14 games
36%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Shishak · 14 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Shishak · 13 games
38%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
jesv · 12 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 11 games
27%
Sven
Sven
Lowskill · 10 games
50%
Underlord
Underlord
MikSa` · 9 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
antoha · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
486 picks · 609 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
457 picks · 532 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
390 picks · 574 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
379 picks · 190 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
365 picks · 406 bans
51%
Muerta
Muerta
359 picks · 266 bans
50%
Invoker
Invoker
336 picks · 920 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
334 picks · 696 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 37%
Hero pool strength64% Chimera Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total87% Chimera Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:16
Chimera Esports 75%Nemiga Gaming 25%
The model gave 75% on Chimera Esports — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 31:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritLorenof
50% · 183 games46% · 238 games
Ember Spiritряф^^
Ember Spirit
Earthshaker
EarthshakerTA2000
59% · 39 games42% · 52 games
Night StalkerMiyaoo
Night Stalker
Enigma
EnigmaDaxak
57% · 86 games44% · 149 games
Pugnamonodrama
Pugna
Clockwerk
ClockwerkOneJey
51% · 181 game55% · 245 games
LionShishak
Lion
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonPanto
49% · 195 games
Game 2prediction correct27:14
Chimera Esports 73%Nemiga Gaming 27%
The model gave 73% on Chimera Esports — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 22:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritLorenof
50% · 251 game54% · 150 games
Earth Spiritряф^^
Earth Spirit
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterTA2000
47% · 369 games60% · 94 games
DawnbreakerMiyaoo
Dawnbreaker
Visage
VisageDaxak
43% · 86 games52% · 171 game
Razorcutie
Razor
Io
IoPanto
48% · 72 games50% · 346 games
BatriderShishak
Batrider
Clockwerk
ClockwerkOneJey
48% · 292 games49% · 309 games
Shadow Demonmonodrama
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteChimera Esports · 87%
Series resultChimera Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2