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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
M80win 2:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fusionloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

M80

Snapfire
Snapfire
Elmisho · 25 games
24%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Elmisho · 22 games
55%
Rubick
Rubick
Elmisho · 19 games
58%
Phoenix
Phoenix
MoOz · 17 games
35%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Elmisho · 16 games
38%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
MoOz · 16 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
MoOz · 15 games
40%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Vitaly · 15 games
27%

Fusion

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Prada · 8 games
63%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Michael · 7 games
29%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Frank · 5 games
60%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Frank · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Michael · 5 games
20%
Sven
Sven
Wits · 5 games
20%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Prada · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
488 picks · 627 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
464 picks · 530 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
392 picks · 573 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
378 picks · 190 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
361 picks · 406 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
351 picks · 263 bans
50%
Invoker
Invoker
336 picks · 916 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
331 picks · 688 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 63%
Hero pool strength55% Fusion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% M80
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:17
M80 57%Fusion 43%
The model gave 57% on M80 — the game was taken by M80 in 29:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkK1
50% · 40 games48% · 106 games
Troll WarlordMnz
Troll Warlord
Magnus
MagnusILICH-
47% · 113 games54% · 122 games
BristlebackFrank
Bristleback
Enchantress
EnchantressMoOz
49% · 312 games47% · 127 games
Shadow FiendLeostyle
Shadow Fiend
Batrider
BatriderElmisho
48% · 272 games56% · 129 games
Nyx AssassinMichael
Nyx Assassin
52% · 253 games
ClockwerkPrada
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct33:34
M80 58%Fusion 42%
The model gave 58% on M80 — the game was taken by M80 in 47:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackK1
54% · 173 games50% · 166 games
GyrocopterMnz
Gyrocopter
Doom
DoomILICH-
49% · 247 games47% · 84 games
Ember SpiritLeostyle
Ember Spirit
Muerta
MuertaElmisho
51% · 203 games45% · 83 games
EnigmaFrank
Enigma
Lich
LichMoOz
56% · 77 games47% · 162 games
PhoenixPrada
Phoenix
47% · 205 games
TuskMichael
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteM80 · 63%
Series resultM80 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2