The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
MODUSwin 1:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DMDEBUT MINEloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MODUS
Rubick
mrls · 12 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 11 games
Tiny
bottega · 11 games
Hoodwink
prblms · 10 games
Underlordsignature
elmo^^ · 10 games
Void Spirit
Mirele · 10 games
Clockwerkoften banned
prblms · 9 games
Pucksignature
Mirele · 9 games
DEBUT MINE
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 407 bans
Rubick
529 picks · 294 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 389 bans
Pangolier
427 picks · 610 bans
Puck
346 picks · 982 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 513 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% DEBUT MINE
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% MODUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct56:17
MODUS 80%DEBUT MINE 20%
The model gave 80% on MODUS — the game was taken by MODUS in 27:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteMODUS · 80%
Series resultMODUS 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1