FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Fusionwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
Clockwerkoften banned
Gardick · 7 games
Batrideroften banned
Genek · 6 games
Medusasignature
Lumière · 6 games
Muerta
Genek · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Gardick · 5 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 4 games
Tuskoften banned
Gardick · 4 games
Fusion
Batrideroften banned
Michael · 7 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Prada · 6 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Frank · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
Snapfire
Michael · 5 games
Sven
Wits · 5 games
Chenoften banned
Prada · 4 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Frank · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
485 picks · 647 bans
Clockwerk
459 picks · 525 bans
Pangolier
388 picks · 570 bans
Dark Willow
378 picks · 189 bans
Batrider
357 picks · 397 bans
Muerta
342 picks · 261 bans
Invoker
331 picks · 914 bans
Beastmaster
324 picks · 675 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:30
Hokori 51%Fusion 49%
The model gave 51% on Hokori — the game was taken by Fusion in 36:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingLumière
Drow RangerMnz
LinaPiPi
BeastmasterFrank
BrewmasterVitaly
Void SpiritLeostyle
SnapfireGenek
PugnaPrada
Ogre MagiGardick
ClockwerkMichael
Game 2prediction correct24:40
Hokori 50%Fusion 50%
The model gave 50% on Fusion — the game was taken by Fusion in 39:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon KnightLumière
MorphlingMnz
Storm SpiritPiPi
BeastmasterFrank
VisageVitaly
MagnusLeostyle
LichGardick
JakiroPrada
TuskGenek
ClockwerkMichael
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 50%
Series resultFusion 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2