The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Bald Rebornwin 1:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:0
SShizageddonloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Bald Reborn
Doomoften banned
Xibbe · 1 game
Lion
mrls · 1 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Shad · 1 game
Tiny
Sancity · 1 game
Treant Protectoroften banned
bengan · 1 game
Shizageddon
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
622 picks · 406 bans
Rubick
529 picks · 293 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 389 bans
Pangolier
427 picks · 609 bans
Puck
345 picks · 980 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 511 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Shizageddon
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Team Bald Reborn
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:13
Team Bald Reborn 56%Shizageddon 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 40:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetShad
NecrophosOtaker
PuckSancity
Earth SpiritKatsura
Centaur WarrunnerXibbe
WindrangerLagoona
Hoodwinkmrls
Treant Protectorbengan
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Bald Reborn · 62%
Series resultTeam Bald Reborn 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1