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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 2:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Talon Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Kuku · 18 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kuku · 16 games
44%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Kuku · 16 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ws · 15 games
60%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Akashi · 15 games
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 13 games
46%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Jhocam · 13 games
62%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Jhocam · 13 games
69%

BOOM Esports

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Tims · 18 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Yadomi · 17 games
76%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Parker · 16 games
44%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 16 games
44%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Parker · 15 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DarkMago · 15 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 14 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
Matthew · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
488 picks · 649 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
452 picks · 520 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
386 picks · 566 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
375 picks · 189 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
352 picks · 389 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
335 picks · 253 bans
51%
Invoker
Invoker
326 picks · 904 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
320 picks · 659 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:36
Talon Esports 52%BOOM Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 1:12:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNatsumi
48% · 192 games49% · 122 games
MedusaJaCkky
Medusa
Lina
LinaMikoto
45% · 96 games43% · 182 games
RazorFbz
Razor
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerWs
48% · 88 games52% · 59 games
EarthshakerMac
Earthshaker
Batrider
BatriderKuku
55% · 253 games52% · 170 games
MagnusTims
Magnus
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinJhocam
60% · 49 games51% · 145 games
PugnaJaunuel
Pugna
Game 2prediction correct29:18
Talon Esports 52%BOOM Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 44:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinNatsumi
48% · 159 games48% · 350 games
Dragon KnightJaCkky
Dragon Knight
Earthshaker
EarthshakerMikoto
47% · 87 games52% · 163 games
BrewmasterFbz
Brewmaster
Doom
DoomWs
50% · 264 games52% · 137 games
Earth SpiritMac
Earth Spirit
Phoenix
PhoenixKuku
51% · 359 games47% · 291 game
SnapfireTims
Snapfire
Clockwerk
ClockwerkJhocam
52% · 360 games53% · 288 games
Shadow DemonJaunuel
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 56%
Series resultTalon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2