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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:0
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Looking for Orgloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hokori

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Genek · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Gardick · 6 games
33%
Muerta
Muerta
Genek · 6 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
40%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Lumière · 5 games
60%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 4 games
25%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Gardick · 4 games
75%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Gardick · 4 games
25%

Looking for Org

Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 24 games
46%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Yadomi · 21 game
43%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 19 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 18 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Yadomi · 17 games
35%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 15 games
60%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
DarkMago · 15 games
47%
Doom
Doomsignature
Sacred · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
488 picks · 649 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
451 picks · 519 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
385 picks · 566 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
375 picks · 189 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
351 picks · 388 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
334 picks · 252 bans
51%
Invoker
Invoker
325 picks · 904 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
320 picks · 657 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Looking for Org
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total69% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:24
Hokori 39%Looking for Org 61%
The model gave 61% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Hokori in 44:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaLumière
39% · 121 game50% · 188 games
Ember SpiritDarkMago
Ember Spirit
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritPiPi
44% · 122 games52% · 205 games
GyrocopterWits
Gyrocopter
Tidehunter
TidehunterVitaly
50% · 50 games63% · 116 games
Dark SeerSacred
Dark Seer
Snapfire
SnapfireGenek
47% · 177 games50% · 156 games
MuertaMatthew
Muerta
Clockwerk
ClockwerkGardick
47% · 301 game60% · 106 games
Elder TitanPanda
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction missed24:24
Hokori 39%Looking for Org 61%
The model gave 61% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Hokori in 40:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingLumière
45% · 299 games45% · 65 games
DawnbreakerSacred
Dawnbreaker
Invoker
InvokerPiPi
49% · 184 games59% · 39 games
SlarkWits
Slark
Axe
AxeVitaly
42% · 21 game49% · 296 games
PangolierDarkMago
Pangolier
Techies
TechiesGenek
48% · 168 games49% · 287 games
BatriderMatthew
Batrider
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiGardick
55% · 84 games59% · 69 games
Elder TitanPanda
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 69%
Series resultHokori 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2