European Pro League Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 0:1series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TT Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
Batrideroften banned
Genek · 6 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Gardick · 6 games
Muerta
Genek · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
Lumière · 5 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 4 games
Ogre Magi
Gardick · 4 games
Tuskoften banned
Gardick · 4 games
TT Team
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
488 picks · 649 bans
Clockwerk
451 picks · 519 bans
Pangolier
385 picks · 566 bans
Dark Willow
375 picks · 189 bans
Batrider
351 picks · 388 bans
Muerta
334 picks · 252 bans
Invoker
325 picks · 904 bans
Beastmaster
320 picks · 657 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 42%
Hero pool strength55% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Hokori 74%TT Team 26%
The model gave 74% on Hokori — the game was taken by TT Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 74%
Series resultTT Team 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1