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European Pro League Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Türkiyewin 2:0
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9Pandasloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Türkiye

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Jeezy · 6 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 5 games
80%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Jeezy · 4 games
75%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
G.T.I · 4 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Stoic · 3 games
33%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Jeezy · 3 games
33%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
G.T.I · 3 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
G.T.I · 3 games
67%

9Pandas

Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
laise · 7 games
86%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
DarkLord^ · 6 games
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 6 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
laise · 6 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Solo · 6 games
83%
Tiny
Tinysignature
erase · 6 games
83%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 6 games
83%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
yamich · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
487 picks · 651 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
451 picks · 519 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
383 picks · 565 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
373 picks · 189 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
348 picks · 383 bans
51%
Muerta
Muerta
330 picks · 250 bans
51%
Invoker
Invoker
324 picks · 900 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
321 picks · 419 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength58% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 3prediction missed31:13
Team Türkiye 44%9Pandas 56%
The model gave 56% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Team Türkiye in 39:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyG.T.I
50% · 347 games50% · 143 games
Ember Spiriterase
Ember Spirit
Phoenix
PhoenixJeezy
48% · 288 games48% · 85 games
Templar AssassinDarkLord^
Templar Assassin
Lich
LichStoic
54% · 52 games53% · 116 games
Magnuslaise
Magnus
49% · 144 games
Dark Willowjesv
Dark Willow
48% · 199 games
ClockwerkSolo
Clockwerk
Game 4prediction missed45:10
Team Türkiye 40%9Pandas 60%
The model gave 60% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Team Türkiye in 40:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyG.T.I
52% · 282 games45% · 202 games
GyrocopterDarkLord^
Gyrocopter
Invoker
InvokerJeezy
51% · 101 game46% · 139 games
Puckerase
Puck
Lich
LichStoic
58% · 35 games46% · 38 games
Tidehunterlaise
Tidehunter
53% · 22 games
UndyingSolo
Undying
49% · 17 games
Shadow Shamanjesv
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 65%
Series resultTeam Türkiye 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2