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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kukuysloss 1:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Execrationwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Kukuys

Marci
Marci
Palos · 7 games
57%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
Palos · 5 games
60%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jing · 5 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 4 games
75%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Natsumi · 3 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Jing · 3 games
33%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
Palos · 3 games
100%

Execration

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
cml · 16 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Tino- · 15 games
60%
Marci
Marcisignature
Tino- · 15 games
67%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
cml · 14 games
64%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Abat · 12 games
50%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Shanks · 12 games
67%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Abat · 10 games
60%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Abat · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
490 picks · 652 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
450 picks · 520 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
385 picks · 565 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
373 picks · 191 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
347 picks · 386 bans
51%
Muerta
Muerta
328 picks · 250 bans
50%
Invoker
Invoker
323 picks · 901 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
322 picks · 422 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% Team Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:15
Team Kukuys 40%Execration 60%
The model gave 60% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 30:51.
Game 2prediction correct33:13
Team Kukuys 40%Execration 60%
The model gave 60% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 37:37.
Game 3prediction correct9:35
Team Kukuys 40%Execration 60%
The model gave 60% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 28:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 60%
Series resultExecration 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3