FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
4Pirateswin 2:0series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Blue Submarineloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4Pirates
Muerta
ariel · 7 games
Invokeroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 6 games
Ogre Magi
PERDAN4IK · 6 games
Primal Beastoften banned
мистер мораль · 5 games
Underlord
мистер мораль · 5 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
мистер мораль · 4 games
Lion
ariel · 4 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Otaker · 4 games
Blue Submarine
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
484 picks · 655 bans
Clockwerk
444 picks · 516 bans
Pangolier
381 picks · 561 bans
Dark Willow
370 picks · 189 bans
Batrider
342 picks · 381 bans
Muerta
324 picks · 246 bans
Luna
323 picks · 425 bans
Invoker
319 picks · 893 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% Blue Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total62% Blue Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:34
4Pirates 38%Blue Submarine 62%
The model gave 62% on Blue Submarine — the game was taken by 4Pirates in 45:13.
Game 2prediction missed19:35
4Pirates 38%Blue Submarine 62%
The model gave 62% on Blue Submarine — the game was taken by 4Pirates in 52:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlue Submarine · 62%
Series result4Pirates 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2