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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:1
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Kukuysloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Tims · 18 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Yadomi · 17 games
76%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Parker · 15 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Parker · 15 games
47%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 15 games
40%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DarkMago · 15 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 14 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
Matthew · 14 games
57%

Team Kukuys

Marci
Marci
Palos · 7 games
57%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
Palos · 5 games
60%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jing · 5 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 4 games
75%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Natsumi · 3 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Jing · 3 games
33%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
Palos · 3 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
485 picks · 658 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
444 picks · 515 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
381 picks · 559 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
370 picks · 189 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
342 picks · 380 bans
51%
Muerta
Muerta
324 picks · 246 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
323 picks · 428 bans
54%
Invoker
Invoker
319 picks · 892 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 64%
Hero pool strength51% Team Kukuys
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total77% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:33
BOOM Esports 77%Team Kukuys 23%
The model gave 77% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Team Kukuys in 41:29.
Game 2prediction correct29:5
BOOM Esports 77%Team Kukuys 23%
The model gave 77% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 35:47.
Game 3prediction correct29:13
BOOM Esports 77%Team Kukuys 23%
The model gave 77% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 30:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 77%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3