?
arrow_backBack to match
FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Execrationwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 6 games
17%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
40%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 4 games
25%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%

Execration

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Tino- · 14 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
cml · 14 games
57%
Marci
Marcisignature
Tino- · 14 games
64%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
cml · 13 games
62%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Abat · 13 games
54%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Shanks · 11 games
73%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Abat · 10 games
70%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Abat · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
481 picks · 659 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
440 picks · 511 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
378 picks · 554 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
366 picks · 189 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
341 picks · 373 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
323 picks · 429 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
319 picks · 242 bans
50%
Invoker
Invoker
317 picks · 880 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 42%
Hero pool strength58% Execration
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total61% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:13
Yangon Galacticos 44%Execration 56%
The model gave 56% on Execration — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 35:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingYoung PH
52% · 196 games51% · 102 games
TinyAbat
Tiny
Magnus
MagnusKsh
54% · 205 games42% · 80 games
BeastmasterTino-
Beastmaster
48% · 128 games
RubickShanks
Rubick
47% · 91 game
Enchantresscml
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct20:32
Yangon Galacticos 44%Execration 56%
The model gave 56% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 32:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenKsh
44% · 152 games54% · 121 game
GyrocopterAbat
Gyrocopter
Monkey King
Monkey KingYoung PH
56% · 125 games48% · 47 games
MarciTino-
Marci
49% · 45 games
Dark WillowShanks
Dark Willow
48% · 64 games
Elder Titancml
Elder Titan
Game 3prediction correct27:32
Yangon Galacticos 45%Execration 55%
The model gave 55% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 37:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinKsh
48% · 95 games47% · 48 games
BristlebackAbat
Bristleback
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritYoung PH
59% · 103 games48% · 21 game
ViperTino-
Viper
51% · 103 games
Enchantresscml
Enchantress
41% · 26 games
EarthshakerShanks
Earthshaker
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 61%
Series resultExecration 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3