The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GG Boomloss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TBthe bugwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GG Boom
No games played over 6 months.
the bug
Batrideroften banned
Newsham · 3 games
Centaur Warrunner
iAnnihilate · 2 games
Ogre Magi
empyrean5 · 2 games
Rubick
Newsham · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
iAnnihilate · 2 games
Axeoften banned
MTD · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
monkeys-forever · 1 game
Clinkzoften banned
Boris · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 405 bans
Rubick
528 picks · 291 bans
Phoenix
485 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 389 bans
Pangolier
427 picks · 607 bans
Puck
345 picks · 985 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 513 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% the bug
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% the bug
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
GG Boom 47%the bug 53%
The model gave 53% on the bug — the game was taken by the bug.
Game 2prediction correct
GG Boom 47%the bug 53%
The model gave 53% on the bug — the game was taken by the bug.
Model check result
Model favoritethe bug · 53%
Series resultthe bug 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2