FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GRIN esportsloss 1:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Fantasy Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GRIN esports
Dark Seer
Moo · 2 games
Axeoften banned
Moo · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Moo · 1 game
Spirit Breaker
Moo · 1 game
Fantasy Gaming
Enigmaoften banned
ArzenT · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
DM · 1 game
Lunaoften banned
DM · 1 game
Naga Sirenoften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 1 game
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
481 picks · 668 bans
Clockwerk
428 picks · 502 bans
Pangolier
377 picks · 551 bans
Dark Willow
360 picks · 185 bans
Batrider
331 picks · 357 bans
Luna
329 picks · 433 bans
Invoker
313 picks · 857 bans
Dragon Knight
310 picks · 594 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Fantasy Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% GRIN esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:40
GRIN esports 60%Fantasy Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on GRIN esports — the game was taken by GRIN esports in 28:43.
Game 2prediction missed20:33
GRIN esports 60%Fantasy Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on GRIN esports — the game was taken by Fantasy Gaming in 28:10.
Game 3prediction missed14:28
GRIN esports 60%Fantasy Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on GRIN esports — the game was taken by Fantasy Gaming in 33:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteGRIN esports · 60%
Series resultFantasy Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3