FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Numa Numa leiwin 1:0series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Hokoriloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Numa Numa lei
No games played over 6 months.
Hokori
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Lumière · 4 games
Muerta
Genek · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
Genek · 3 games
Pugnaoften banned
Gardick · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Vitaly · 3 games
Tuskoften banned
Gardick · 3 games
Lion
Genek · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
481 picks · 668 bans
Clockwerk
428 picks · 502 bans
Pangolier
377 picks · 551 bans
Dark Willow
360 picks · 185 bans
Batrider
331 picks · 357 bans
Luna
329 picks · 433 bans
Invoker
313 picks · 857 bans
Dragon Knight
310 picks · 594 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 45%
Hero pool strength53% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:27
Numa Numa lei 25%Hokori 75%
The model gave 75% on Hokori — the game was taken by Numa Numa lei in 42:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 75%
Series resultNuma Numa lei 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1