European Pro League Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TT Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Passion UA
Hoodwink
Fernans · 30 games
Tuskoften banned
flacko · 28 games
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 24 games
Morphlingoften banned
yowaai · 21 game
Timbersawsignature
Batyuk · 21 game
Pangolieroften banned
niche · 19 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 17 games
Enchantressoften banned
flacko · 16 games
TT Team
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
481 picks · 667 bans
Clockwerk
427 picks · 499 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 550 bans
Dark Willow
360 picks · 185 bans
Batrider
330 picks · 357 bans
Luna
329 picks · 433 bans
Invoker
312 picks · 855 bans
Dragon Knight
310 picks · 590 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 38%
Hero pool strength55% Passion UA
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total83% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 83%TT Team 17%
The model gave 83% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction correct
Passion UA 83%TT Team 17%
The model gave 83% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 83%
Series resultPassion UA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2