The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Nemesiswin 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Selva Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Nemesis
Tinysignature
rubikon155 · 24 games
Pangolieroften banned
Jabz · 20 games
Slardarsignature
Jabz · 18 games
Tusk
Jhocam · 18 games
Windranger
Q · 18 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Mac · 16 games
Muertaoften banned
23savage · 15 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jhocam · 15 games
Selva Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 404 bans
Rubick
526 picks · 290 bans
Phoenix
484 picks · 581 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 388 bans
Pangolier
427 picks · 602 bans
Puck
345 picks · 982 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 508 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Team Nemesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Nemesis 82%Selva Esports 18%
The model gave 82% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Team Nemesis.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Nemesis 82%Selva Esports 18%
The model gave 82% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Team Nemesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nemesis · 82%
Series resultTeam Nemesis 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2