Открытые киберспортивные игры 2024 Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
TT Teamloss 0:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CSKA ESPORTSwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TT Team
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 1 game
CSKA ESPORTS
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
483 picks · 665 bans
Clockwerk
427 picks · 499 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 548 bans
Dark Willow
361 picks · 183 bans
Batrider
331 picks · 356 bans
Luna
329 picks · 433 bans
Invoker
312 picks · 853 bans
Enchantress
311 picks · 605 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 57%
Hero pool strength56% CSKA ESPORTS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% CSKA ESPORTS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:22
TT Team 30%CSKA ESPORTS 70%
The model gave 70% on CSKA ESPORTS — the game was taken by CSKA ESPORTS in 39:32.
Game 2prediction correct41:19
TT Team 30%CSKA ESPORTS 70%
The model gave 70% on CSKA ESPORTS — the game was taken by CSKA ESPORTS in 33:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteCSKA ESPORTS · 70%
Series resultCSKA ESPORTS 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2