FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Essenceloss 0:2series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Execrationwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Essence
Zeus
Varizh · 4 games
Dark Willow
dalul · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
db- · 2 games
Jakiro
Varizh · 2 games
Miranaoften banned
Varizh · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
db- · 1 game
Clockwerkoften banned
dalul · 1 game
Dark Seer
db- · 1 game
Execration
Beastmastersignature
Tino- · 14 games
Enchantressoften banned
cml · 14 games
Marcisignature
Tino- · 14 games
Elder Titansignature
cml · 13 games
Razoroften banned
Abat · 12 games
Rubicksignature
Shanks · 11 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Abat · 10 games
Tinysignature
Abat · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
484 picks · 663 bans
Clockwerk
423 picks · 496 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 544 bans
Dark Willow
359 picks · 183 bans
Batrider
332 picks · 352 bans
Luna
329 picks · 434 bans
Enchantress
312 picks · 601 bans
Invoker
310 picks · 846 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 40%
Hero pool strength64% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:22
Team Essence 13%Execration 87%
The model gave 87% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 39:18.
Game 2prediction correct29:46
Team Essence 13%Execration 87%
The model gave 87% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration in 40:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 87%
Series resultExecration 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2