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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ascent Esportsloss 1:2
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ascent Esports

Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 4 games
25%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
czy · 3 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
TrazaM · 3 games
67%
Lion
Lion
TrazaM · 2 games
0%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
0%
Muerta
Muerta
TrazaM · 2 games
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
50%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
czy · 2 games
50%

Yangon Galacticos

Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
75%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
484 picks · 663 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
423 picks · 496 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
376 picks · 544 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
359 picks · 183 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
332 picks · 352 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
329 picks · 434 bans
55%
Enchantress
Enchantress
312 picks · 601 bans
52%
Invoker
Invoker
310 picks · 846 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 55%
Hero pool strength54% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:5
Ascent Esports 22%Yangon Galacticos 78%
The model gave 78% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Ascent Esports in 22:47.
Game 2prediction correct19:36
Ascent Esports 22%Yangon Galacticos 78%
The model gave 78% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 37:40.
Game 3prediction correct16:38
Ascent Esports 22%Yangon Galacticos 78%
The model gave 78% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 31:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 78%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3