FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionNOnot one elseloss 0:1
series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Dragon Esportswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
not one else
No games played over 6 months.
Dragon Esports
Pangolieroften banned
dualrazee · 29 games
Beastmastersignature
Infernal · 23 games
Morphlingoften banned
lil pleb · 23 games
Tuskoften banned
Mary_y · 21 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
lil pleb · 17 games
Invokeroften banned
dualrazee · 17 games
Phoenix
Mary_y · 17 games
Medusaoften banned
lil pleb · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
484 picks · 665 bans
Clockwerk
422 picks · 497 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 542 bans
Dark Willow
359 picks · 183 bans
Batrider
332 picks · 353 bans
Luna
329 picks · 436 bans
Enchantress
314 picks · 601 bans
Invoker
309 picks · 844 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 59%
Hero pool strength51% not one else
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Dragon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:42
not one else 18%Dragon Esports 82%
The model gave 82% on Dragon Esports — the game was taken by Dragon Esports in 36:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteDragon Esports · 82%
Series resultDragon Esports 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1