Открытые киберспортивные игры 2024 Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
ChristoFireloss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
TT Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ChristoFire
No games played over 6 months.
TT Team
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
485 picks · 669 bans
Clockwerk
424 picks · 497 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 539 bans
Dark Willow
358 picks · 184 bans
Luna
330 picks · 437 bans
Batrider
329 picks · 350 bans
Enchantress
316 picks · 597 bans
Dragon Knight
312 picks · 559 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 36%
Hero pool strength56% ChristoFire
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% ChristoFire
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
ChristoFire 51%TT Team 49%
The model gave 51% on ChristoFire — the game was taken by TT Team.
Game 2prediction correct
ChristoFire 51%TT Team 49%
The model gave 51% on ChristoFire — the game was taken by ChristoFire.
Game 3prediction missed
ChristoFire 51%TT Team 49%
The model gave 51% on ChristoFire — the game was taken by TT Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteChristoFire · 51%
Series resultTT Team 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3