Шоу-матч Yatoro vs Maybe · BO3
result vs predictionTYTeam Yatoroloss 1:1
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:1
TEAM TURTLEloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Yatoro
No games played over 6 months.
TEAM TURTLE
Clockwerkoften banned
Fantasy · 3 games
Dark Willow
fy · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Somnus · 3 games
Muerta
fy · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Somnus · 3 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Monet · 3 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Monet · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Yang · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
486 picks · 674 bans
Clockwerk
424 picks · 496 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 539 bans
Dark Willow
358 picks · 184 bans
Luna
331 picks · 442 bans
Batrider
326 picks · 348 bans
Enchantress
314 picks · 597 bans
Dragon Knight
311 picks · 552 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% TEAM TURTLE
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% TEAM TURTLE
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Yatoro 47%TEAM TURTLE 53%
The model gave 53% on TEAM TURTLE — the game was taken by Team Yatoro.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Yatoro 47%TEAM TURTLE 53%
The model gave 53% on TEAM TURTLE — the game was taken by TEAM TURTLE.
Model check result
Model favoriteTEAM TURTLE · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2