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ESL One Bangkok 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaozuloss 0:2
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaozu

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Paparazi · 9 games
56%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Paparazi · 5 games
40%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Dy · 5 games
80%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
JT- · 4 games
75%
Mars
Marsoften banned
JT- · 4 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Dy · 4 games
50%
Underlord
Underlord
JT- · 4 games
75%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Ame · 3 games
100%

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 28 games
64%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 28 games
50%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 21 game
81%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 20 games
70%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 20 games
65%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 18 games
61%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 17 games
76%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Pure~ · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
483 picks · 673 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
419 picks · 493 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
366 picks · 535 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
354 picks · 184 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
331 picks · 442 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
320 picks · 336 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
310 picks · 596 bans
53%
Alchemist
Alchemist
305 picks · 683 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:47
Gaozu 27%BETBOOM TEAM 73%
The model gave 73% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorAme
35% · 161 game57% · 69 games
DawnbreakerPure~
Dawnbreaker
Beastmaster
BeastmasterJT-
42% · 207 games63% · 148 games
Monkey Kingkiyotaka
Monkey King
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritPaparazi
50% · 206 games57% · 215 games
Primal BeastMieRo
Primal Beast
Zeus
ZeusXinQ
46% · 77 games51% · 270 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Elder Titan
Elder TitanDy
47% · 84 games53% · 33 games
LichKataomi
Lich
Game 2prediction correct14:24
Gaozu 29%BETBOOM TEAM 71%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageAme
34% · 13 games45% · 49 games
BroodmotherPure~
Broodmother
Tiny
TinyPaparazi
56% · 187 games51% · 99 games
Invokerkiyotaka
Invoker
Brewmaster
BrewmasterJT-
51% · 79 games46% · 134 games
KunkkaMieRo
Kunkka
Zeus
ZeusXinQ
54% · 27 games43% · 78 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Elder Titan
Elder TitanDy
60% · 63 games38% · 9 games
LichKataomi
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 87%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2