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ESL One Bangkok 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Liquidloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 17 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 15 games
80%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 14 games
79%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 14 games
71%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 13 games
69%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 12 games
42%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
DM · 12 games
50%

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 28 games
75%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 25 games
60%
Razor
Razorsignature
miCKe · 24 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
iNSaNiA · 22 games
59%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
iNSaNiA · 22 games
68%
Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 22 games
59%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 20 games
75%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
miCKe · 20 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
487 picks · 674 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
418 picks · 493 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
363 picks · 534 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
355 picks · 184 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
334 picks · 445 bans
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
310 picks · 516 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
307 picks · 333 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
307 picks · 595 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 51%
Hero pool strength50% Team Liquid
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total63% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:16
PARIVISION 42%Team Liquid 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 41:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterCrystallis
45% · 271 game50% · 137 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Magnus
MagnusNo[o]ne
51% · 91 game52% · 134 games
BrewmasterSabeRLight-
Brewmaster
Enigma
EnigmaDM
53% · 125 games55% · 168 games
Storm SpiritNisha
Storm Spirit
Marci
Marci9Class
47% · 113 games49% · 208 games
Dark WillowBoxi
Dark Willow
Pugna
PugnaDukalis
47% · 136 games53% · 89 games
DisruptoriNSaNiA
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed36:15
PARIVISION 44%Team Liquid 56%
The model gave 56% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 32:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistCrystallis
58% · 76 games45% · 20 games
SpectremiCKe
Spectre
Sniper
SniperNo[o]ne
53% · 33 games49% · 37 games
UndyingSabeRLight-
Undying
Lycan
LycanDM
55% · 12 games48% · 148 games
InvokerNisha
Invoker
Pugna
PugnaDukalis
52% · 89 games54% · 24 games
LichiNSaNiA
Lich
Batrider
Batrider9Class
47% · 140 games45% · 121 game
MuertaBoxi
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 63%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2