FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Fusionwin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
dxloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fusion
Hoodwink
Michael · 7 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Frank · 5 games
Phoenix
Prada · 5 games
Snapfire
Michael · 5 games
Batrideroften banned
Michael · 4 games
Chenoften banned
Prada · 4 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Prada · 4 games
Disruptor
Prada · 4 games
dx
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
490 picks · 673 bans
Clockwerk
415 picks · 490 bans
Pangolier
359 picks · 529 bans
Dark Willow
348 picks · 183 bans
Luna
340 picks · 451 bans
Enchantress
305 picks · 593 bans
Dragon Knight
303 picks · 488 bans
Alchemist
300 picks · 634 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% dx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Fusion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Fusion 65%dx 35%
The model gave 65% on Fusion — the game was taken by Fusion.
Game 2prediction correct
Fusion 65%dx 35%
The model gave 65% on Fusion — the game was taken by Fusion.
Model check result
Model favoriteFusion · 65%
Series resultFusion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2