FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Looking For Orgloss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dragon Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Looking For Org
No games played over 6 months.
Dragon Esports
Pangolieroften banned
dualrazee · 29 games
Beastmastersignature
Infernal · 23 games
Morphlingoften banned
lil pleb · 23 games
Tuskoften banned
Mary_y · 21 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
lil pleb · 17 games
Invokeroften banned
dualrazee · 17 games
Phoenix
Mary_y · 17 games
Medusaoften banned
lil pleb · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
491 picks · 673 bans
Clockwerk
415 picks · 489 bans
Pangolier
359 picks · 530 bans
Dark Willow
348 picks · 181 bans
Luna
340 picks · 452 bans
Enchantress
305 picks · 596 bans
Dragon Knight
304 picks · 486 bans
Alchemist
301 picks · 630 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 59%
Hero pool strength51% Looking For Org
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Dragon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Looking For Org 36%Dragon Esports 64%
The model gave 64% on Dragon Esports — the game was taken by Dragon Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Looking For Org 36%Dragon Esports 64%
The model gave 64% on Dragon Esports — the game was taken by Dragon Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteDragon Esports · 64%
Series resultDragon Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2