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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Spiky Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Crocodileloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Spiky Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Hara · 8 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
TK · 8 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
TK · 7 games
29%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Manic · 7 games
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
17%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TK · 6 games
33%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
生死 · 5 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
生死 · 5 games
0%

Crocodile

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Irving · 2 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Irving · 1 game
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Irving · 1 game
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Irving · 1 game
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Irving · 1 game
100%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Irving · 1 game
100%
Underlord
Underlord
Irving · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
491 picks · 675 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
418 picks · 484 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
360 picks · 525 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
351 picks · 181 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
343 picks · 454 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
305 picks · 597 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
304 picks · 477 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
302 picks · 319 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Crocodile
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total69% Spiky Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:19
Spiky Gaming 69%Crocodile 31%
The model gave 69% on Spiky Gaming — the game was taken by Crocodile in 34:46.
Game 2prediction correct24:5
Spiky Gaming 69%Crocodile 31%
The model gave 69% on Spiky Gaming — the game was taken by Spiky Gaming in 20:48.
Game 3prediction correct30:10
Spiky Gaming 69%Crocodile 31%
The model gave 69% on Spiky Gaming — the game was taken by Spiky Gaming in 31:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpiky Gaming · 69%
Series resultSpiky Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3