FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Myth Avenue Gamingwin 2:1series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Caterpillarloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Myth Avenue Gaming
Morphlingoften banned
MangO · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
Underlord
Nishababy · 1 game
Caterpillar
Muerta
tnt · 3 games
Hoodwink
boombell · 2 games
Lion
tnt · 2 games
Magnusoften banned
Fearless · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
Fearless · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 2 games
Crystal Maiden
boombell · 1 game
Omniknightoften banned
boombell · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
491 picks · 675 bans
Clockwerk
418 picks · 484 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 525 bans
Dark Willow
351 picks · 181 bans
Luna
343 picks · 454 bans
Enchantress
305 picks · 597 bans
Dragon Knight
304 picks · 477 bans
Batrider
302 picks · 319 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Caterpillar
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Myth Avenue Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:36
Myth Avenue Gaming 72%Caterpillar 28%
The model gave 72% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Myth Avenue Gaming in 49:15.
Game 2prediction missed17:34
Myth Avenue Gaming 72%Caterpillar 28%
The model gave 72% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Caterpillar in 27:00.
Game 3prediction correct38:16
Myth Avenue Gaming 72%Caterpillar 28%
The model gave 72% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Myth Avenue Gaming in 36:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteMyth Avenue Gaming · 72%
Series resultMyth Avenue Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3