FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 1:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:0
YNGBLDloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Dark Willow
ani-san · 7 games
Morphlingoften banned
selfhate · 7 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Ethereal · 7 games
Underlord
Actor · 7 games
Invokeroften banned
Ethereal · 5 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Actor · 5 games
Snapfire
ani-san · 5 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Actor · 4 games
YNGBLD
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
492 picks · 678 bans
Clockwerk
418 picks · 483 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 527 bans
Dark Willow
351 picks · 181 bans
Luna
347 picks · 454 bans
Enchantress
307 picks · 599 bans
Batrider
304 picks · 318 bans
Dragon Knight
304 picks · 479 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% YNGBLD
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:8
Hydra 71%YNGBLD 29%
The model gave 71% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 28:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 71%
Series resultHydra 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1